Monday, March 30, 2015

Review of Henry Kissinger's World Order from the Sturbride Times Magazine of March 2015

World Order
Henry Kissinger
Penguin Press HC, 2014
Hardcover, 432 pages
ISBN-10: 1594206147
ISBN-13: 978-1594206146
List: $36.00 Amazon: $21.60

By Richard Morchoe


From the 1970s there was a joke that went as follows; Four men are passengers in a plane; a hippie, an old priest, Gerald Ford and Henry Kissinger. Suddenly the pilot announces, The plane is going down and the co-pilot and I are bailing out. There are three parachutes for passengers. Good luck.
Gerald Ford takes one and says as he jumps, As president, I am entitled to a chute.
Kissinger grabs another and with Teutonic intonation states as he exits, I am der smartest person in der vurld, so dis ist mein.
The priest says to the hippie, I am an old man and have lived a long life. I am ready to meet my maker. You take the third parachute.
The hippie replies, Not to worry, padre. The smartest man in the world just bailed out with my knapsack.
Henry Kissinger did not evoke neutral emotions. He was either reviled or admired. He served under presidents Nixon and Ford, first as National Security adviser and then as Secretary of State. Few holders of those officers ever seemed as dominant from the rapprochement with China to the Paris negotiations ending the Vietnam War.
Kissinger was a departure from previous Secretaries of State. The office up until his appointment had been the preserve of members of the Eastern Establishment. We had never had an immigrant, let alone a refugee hold the position. The Kissinger family had to flee Germany due to National Socialist persecution of Jews.
He saw service in and after World War II. Among other duties, while only a private, the young soldier was placed in charge of a city. On leaving the military, Kissinger attended Harvard, eventually earning a doctorate.
After teaching at his alma mater he went on to government service. Leaving State, he would found Kissinger and Associates along with another policy insider, Brent Scowcroft. It is a prosperous and influential enterprise. Few turn down a phone call from Henry.
Kissinger could have written an interesting autobiography. World Order is none of that. The author was wise not to use the word Newin the title. It is a sober record of our nations interaction with other countries. In many ways it is similar to Angelo Codevillas To Make and Keep Peace Among Ourselves and with All Nations, reviewed in this magazines October 2014 issue. There is however a difference in emphasis as evidenced by the titles.
The book is a valuable resource as regards diplomatic history. We in the West have been under the Westphalian system that arose out of the peace conferences that ended the Thirty YearsWar in the 1600s. The system is based on the respect each state had for each others sovereignty and the balance of power. Kissingers explanation of that regime and how it is and is not working in the contemporary world is excellent. That said, the book is not without problems.
The whole of Chapter 4 discusses Iran. It is an important topic as our dealings with Persia go back not to the embassy takeover, but to the early postwar period. This the author does not address, though he does give a fair gloss of the history of that ancient land other than that.
He gives credit to the Iranians subtlety in pursuing foreign relations. Kissinger is concerned that these world class negotiators are gaming the international system. Through the talks over their nuclear program, he contends they continue progress toward a weapon of mass destruction.
His polemic is countered by The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). On December 19th of last year, as reported by Reuters, they have stated Iran is keeping to its agreements and not enriching uranium to fissile level. That does not mean Kissinger is wrong, but his tone is that what he is saying is uncontested fact.

We should not want a nuclear armed Iran, but there are two other middle-eastern states in the nuclear club. One, Pakistan, is arguably far more unstable than Iran. How much more sleep do we have to lose?
The section dealing with the Iraq and Afghan entanglements begins on Page 317 with;After an anguishing discussion of the "lessons of Vietnam," equally intense dilemmas recapitulated themselves three decades later with wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.  Both conflicts had their origins in a breakdown of international order.  For America, both ended in withdrawal.It would seem that Kissinger is not aware that such an admission is not in any sense evidence that America can do the job of managing a world order.
On Page 322 he suggests that if the major powers cant guarantee Afghan neutrality as they did Belgium in the Nineteenth Century, that country is likely to drag the world back into its perennial warfare.His writing does not make the case. We got along well ignoring the place until the Russians invaded and then we had to meddle. If we had minded our business, the USSR would probably have still imploded and, most certainly, The Twin Towers would not have fallen.
Yes, Afghanistan may become a mess, not that it is paradise now, but it only becomes our mess if we let it. Leaving and forgetting it would be a better plan. Ignorance may not be bliss, but in this case, it could be good strategy.
The tone of the book is all too much, we have to do things, because we have to. He does a good job of laying out the situation, but does not provide a compelling reason for intervention.
When Kissinger was the dominant foreign policy player, his most important task was to extricate the country from Vietnam. It would have been nice if we could have achieved Peace with honoras Nixon put it, but the big thing was leaving. We were as LBJ put it, hunkering down like a jackass in a hailstorm.We couldnt stay forever and knew we had to go.

Kissinger accomplished the mission and, yes the South fell. All the predictions of the end of the world for us, however, did not come to pass.

Maybe thats the lesson about World Order that needed learning.